Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Iginla wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.2% vs Bozak 52.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 63.6%
Defensive zone
Iginla 55.6%
Neutral zone
Iginla 56.8%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Iginla
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Iginla
Bozak
Last 7: Iginla 1-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Iginla
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Iginla
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Iginla
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (307)
51.7% (913)
-0.2%
Power Play
45.4% (108)
55.9% (211)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
54.9% (51)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Iginla is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Iginla shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Iginla
Bozak
Home
53.0% (217)
52.8% (615)
Away
47.4% (209)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Iginla
Bozak
P1
53.1%
52.5%
P2
48.6%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
55.2%
OT
38.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |