Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 48.7% vs Stoll 55.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 76.3%
Defensive zone
Stoll 87.6%
Neutral zone
Stoll 65.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
McDonald
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDonald
Stoll
Last 5: McDonald 3-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (103)
58.4% (539)
-13.7%
Power Play
51.8% (85)
55.6% (63)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
47.2% (144)
+2.8%
On even strength, Stoll has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. McDonald is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
McDonald shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Home / Away
McDonald
Stoll
Home
43.8% (105)
57.3% (358)
Away
52.7% (93)
54.9% (388)
By Period
McDonald
Stoll
P1
47.4%
47.8%
P2
48.5%
59.5%
P3
44.9%
58.1%
OT
83.3%
85.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |