Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McMillan wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 43.7% vs Stoll 54.6% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McMillan 76.8%
Defensive zone
McMillan 76.9%
Neutral zone
McMillan 86.0%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
McMillan
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
McMillan
Stoll
Last 10: McMillan 3-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
1
McMillan
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
3
McMillan
Stoll
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
4
McMillan
Stoll
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (55)
56.2% (853)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
51.5% (200)
-9.8%
On even strength, Stoll has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. McMillan is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
McMillan shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
McMillan
Stoll
Home
40.6% (32)
60.0% (620)
Away
28.6% (35)
49.7% (584)
By Period
McMillan
Stoll
P1
28.6%
55.4%
P2
40.0%
54.6%
P3
38.5%
54.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
31.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
34.3%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Nov 16, 2011 | OT | 01:21 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |