Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Stoll 57.0% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 87.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 87.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 86.5%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
O'Reilly
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
O'Reilly
Stoll
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
O'Reilly
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
6
O'Reilly
Stoll
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
3
O'Reilly
Stoll
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
56.6% (987)
-10.4%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
64.3% (126)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
58.1% (179)
-8.1%
On power play, Stoll has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (156).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stoll
Home
48.1% (243)
58.6% (662)
Away
44.9% (254)
56.3% (648)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stoll
P1
43.2%
58.1%
P2
45.6%
56.4%
P3
50.9%
58.4%
OT
42.9%
43.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |