Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Stoll 55.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 17-4 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 95.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 92.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 93.2%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
O'Reilly
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
17
(21 meetings)
4
17
O'Reilly
Stoll
Last 10: O'Reilly 2-8 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
O'Reilly
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
10
O'Reilly
Stoll
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
5
O'Reilly
Stoll
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
56.0% (4,886)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
56.5% (496)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.7% (1,087)
-0.7%
On even strength, Stoll has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stoll
Home
50.6% (480)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
43.2% (465)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stoll
P1
47.1%
54.2%
P2
46.7%
55.8%
P3
46.8%
55.3%
OT
54.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |