Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for VandeVelde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). VandeVelde wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
VandeVelde 48.6% vs Stoll 54.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 73.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 81.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 81.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
VandeVelde
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
VandeVelde
Stoll
Last 6: VandeVelde 4-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: VandeVelde
1
0
VandeVelde
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
VandeVelde
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: VandeVelde
2
1
VandeVelde
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
VandeVelde
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (32)
56.2% (853)
-12.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.3% (135)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.5% (200)
-8.6%
On power play, VandeVelde has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. VandeVelde is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
VandeVelde shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
VandeVelde
Stoll
Home
43.8% (16)
60.0% (620)
Away
45.8% (24)
49.7% (584)
By Period
VandeVelde
Stoll
P1
57.1%
55.4%
P2
40.9%
54.6%
P3
45.5%
54.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
VandeVelde
50.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Chris VandeVelde |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Chris VandeVelde |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |