Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Stoll 56.3% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 52.5%
Defensive zone
Stoll 93.6%
Neutral zone
Stoll 71.7%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Lazar
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Stoll
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Stoll
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Stoll
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
57.7% (650)
-13.4%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
66.7% (15)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
53.9% (178)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Lazar is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Lazar shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stoll
Home
45.0% (202)
59.6% (421)
Away
42.3% (182)
54.5% (422)
By Period
Lazar
Stoll
P1
45.5%
55.4%
P2
43.0%
55.9%
P3
42.1%
59.9%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |