Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Stoll 55.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 52.5%
Defensive zone
Stoll 65.6%
Neutral zone
Stoll 63.3%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Backes
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backes
Stoll
Last 7: Backes 4-3 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Stoll
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Backes
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
58.4% (539)
-4.0%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
55.6% (63)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
47.2% (144)
-6.8%
On power play, Stoll has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Stoll is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Backes
Stoll
Home
50.8% (447)
57.3% (358)
Away
53.8% (465)
54.9% (388)
By Period
Backes
Stoll
P1
51.8%
47.8%
P2
53.2%
59.5%
P3
52.8%
58.1%
OT
33.3%
85.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |