Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 52.9% vs Stoll 55.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 75.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 53.9%
Neutral zone
Stoll 61.6%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Belanger
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Belanger
Stoll
Last 6: Belanger 4-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Belanger
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
0
Belanger
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
0
Belanger
Stoll
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (270)
58.4% (539)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.6% (63)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (99)
47.2% (144)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Belanger is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Belanger shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Home / Away
Belanger
Stoll
Home
50.9% (159)
57.3% (358)
Away
55.7% (219)
54.9% (388)
By Period
Belanger
Stoll
P1
52.3%
47.8%
P2
51.5%
59.5%
P3
58.3%
58.1%
OT
57.1%
85.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |