Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Stoll 56.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 92.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 78.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 81.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Nielsen
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nielsen
Stoll
Last 9: Nielsen 2-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
6
Nielsen
Stoll
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
1
Nielsen
Stoll
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
57.7% (650)
-7.0%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
66.7% (15)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
53.9% (178)
-8.2%
On power play, Stoll has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Nielsen shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Stoll
Home
51.1% (595)
59.6% (421)
Away
49.1% (574)
54.5% (422)
By Period
Nielsen
Stoll
P1
53.2%
55.4%
P2
48.1%
55.9%
P3
49.3%
59.9%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |