Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hamilton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hamilton wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hamilton 46.0% vs Stoll 50.9% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 78.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 90.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 79.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 88.4%
11.6%
88.4%
Hamilton
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hamilton
Stoll
Last 5: Hamilton 4-1 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hamilton
3
1
Hamilton
Stoll
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hamilton
1
0
Hamilton
Stoll
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hamilton
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (57)
51.8% (953)
-11.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.8% (65)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.5% (143)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Hamilton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Hamilton shoots right. Stoll is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Hamilton
Stoll
Home
37.5% (16)
51.0% (606)
Away
40.0% (45)
51.0% (555)
By Period
Hamilton
Stoll
P1
36.8%
51.3%
P2
38.1%
52.6%
P3
42.9%
48.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hamilton
48.0%▼
52.0%
39.3%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Freddie Hamilton |