Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Iginla wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.2% vs Stoll 54.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 68.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 91.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 89.9%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Iginla
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Iginla
Stoll
Last 5: Iginla 4-1 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
0
Iginla
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (307)
56.2% (853)
-4.7%
Power Play
45.4% (108)
53.3% (135)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
51.5% (200)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Iginla is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Iginla shoots right. Stoll is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Iginla
Stoll
Home
53.0% (217)
60.0% (620)
Away
47.4% (209)
49.7% (584)
By Period
Iginla
Stoll
P1
53.1%
55.4%
P2
48.6%
54.6%
P3
50.0%
54.6%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |