Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Slater 56.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 67.1%
Defensive zone
Slater 70.7%
Neutral zone
Slater 51.6%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Stoll
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stoll
Slater
Last 9: Stoll 5-4 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
2
Stoll
Slater
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Slater
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Slater
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
58.9% (1,983)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
65.2% (46)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
51.4% (722)
-0.7%
On power play, Slater has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Slater is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Stoll
Slater
Home
57.2% (3,285)
60.9% (1,436)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
52.7% (1,329)
By Period
Stoll
Slater
P1
54.2%
57.0%
P2
55.8%
55.6%
P3
55.3%
58.4%
OT
52.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |