Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Mitchell 49.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 65.6%
Defensive zone
Stoll 54.2%
Neutral zone
Stoll 52.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Stoll
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stoll
Mitchell
Last 9: Stoll 4-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Stoll
Mitchell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Stoll
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
45.9% (231)
+12.5%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
52.2% (67)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
65.2% (46)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Mitchell is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Stoll
Mitchell
Home
57.3% (358)
59.0% (134)
Away
54.9% (388)
43.8% (210)
By Period
Stoll
Mitchell
P1
47.8%
48.0%
P2
59.5%
49.2%
P3
58.1%
50.9%
OT
85.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |