Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Staal 51.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 88.6%
Defensive zone
Stoll 76.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 92.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Stoll
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
2
(16 meetings)
14
2
Stoll
Staal
Last 10: Stoll 9-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
10
0
Stoll
Staal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
52.3% (790)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
54.4% (114)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
45.0% (218)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Stoll
Staal
Home
60.0% (620)
54.9% (628)
Away
49.7% (584)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Stoll
Staal
P1
55.4%
50.3%
P2
54.6%
52.4%
P3
54.6%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |