Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Bailey 45.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 81.9%
Defensive zone
Bailey 72.0%
Neutral zone
Bailey 81.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Stoll
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stoll
Bailey
Last 5: Stoll 1-4 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Stoll
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Stoll
Bailey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
45.8% (1,991)
+10.2%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
48.1% (295)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
39.9% (281)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bailey
Home
57.2% (3,285)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Stoll
Bailey
P1
54.2%
46.5%
P2
55.8%
44.8%
P3
55.3%
44.4%
OT
52.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |