Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Bailey 45.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 77.5%
Defensive zone
Bailey 74.8%
Neutral zone
Bailey 80.8%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Stoll
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stoll
Bailey
Last 5: Stoll 1-4 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Stoll
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Stoll
Bailey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
44.2% (441)
+12.4%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
48.1% (81)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
41.7% (84)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. Bailey is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bailey
Home
58.6% (662)
43.1% (295)
Away
56.3% (648)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Stoll
Bailey
P1
58.1%
46.5%
P2
56.4%
45.7%
P3
58.4%
41.3%
OT
43.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
59.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |