Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Chipchura 48.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 51.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 51.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Stoll
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stoll
Chipchura
Last 9: Stoll 4-5 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
4
Stoll
Chipchura
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Chipchura
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
47.9% (332)
+8.3%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
28.6% (7)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
47.8% (23)
+3.7%
On power play, Stoll has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Chipchura is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Stoll
Chipchura
Home
60.0% (620)
46.5% (159)
Away
49.7% (584)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Stoll
Chipchura
P1
55.4%
50.4%
P2
54.6%
47.0%
P3
54.6%
45.2%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |