Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ferraro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Ferraro 42.5% (+21.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 60.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 89.4%
Neutral zone
Stoll 77.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Stoll
Ferraro
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stoll
Ferraro
Last 5: Stoll 3-2 Ferraro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Ferraro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ferraro
1
2
Stoll
Ferraro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Ferraro
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
35.4% (82)
+20.6%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
0.0% (2)
+56.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
0.0% (2)
+50.7%
On power play, Stoll has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ferraro shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Stoll shoots right. Ferraro is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Stoll
Ferraro
Home
57.2% (3,285)
31.7% (63)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
39.1% (23)
By Period
Stoll
Ferraro
P1
54.2%
21.9%
P2
55.8%
46.4%
P3
55.3%
36.0%
OT
52.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Ferraro
36.0%▲
33.7%
33.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Landon Ferraro |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Landon Ferraro |