Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +23.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ferraro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ferraro shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Ferraro 42.5% (+23.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ferraro 53.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 89.2%
Neutral zone
Stoll 74.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Stoll
Ferraro
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stoll
Ferraro
Last 5: Stoll 3-2 Ferraro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Ferraro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ferraro
1
2
Stoll
Ferraro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Ferraro
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
35.4% (82)
+22.3%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
0.0% (2)
+53.9%
On power play, Stoll has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ferraro shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Stoll shoots right. Ferraro is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Stoll
Ferraro
Home
59.6% (421)
31.7% (63)
Away
54.5% (422)
39.1% (23)
By Period
Stoll
Ferraro
P1
55.4%
21.9%
P2
55.9%
46.4%
P3
59.9%
36.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Ferraro
36.0%▲
33.7%
33.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Landon Ferraro |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Landon Ferraro |