Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Eller 52.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 62.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Stoll
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stoll
Eller
Last 5: Stoll 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Stoll
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Stoll
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Stoll
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
53.3% (803)
+3.6%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
55.8% (86)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
50.0% (90)
-2.7%
On even strength, Stoll has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Stoll is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Stoll shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Stoll
Eller
Home
57.3% (618)
52.8% (525)
Away
52.2% (621)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Stoll
Eller
P1
54.5%
53.9%
P2
57.2%
54.8%
P3
53.4%
50.9%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2014 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |