Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Kruger 49.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 74.1%
Defensive zone
Kruger 51.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 63.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Stoll
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stoll
Kruger
Last 5: Stoll 3-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Kruger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Stoll
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
54.0% (348)
+3.7%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
35.2% (125)
+18.7%
On power play, Kruger has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Stoll shoots right. Kruger is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Stoll
Kruger
Home
59.6% (421)
52.4% (212)
Away
54.5% (422)
46.6% (262)
By Period
Stoll
Kruger
P1
55.4%
40.1%
P2
55.9%
53.6%
P3
59.9%
54.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |