Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Erat 48.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 52.6%
Defensive zone
Stoll 91.0%
Neutral zone
Stoll 76.8%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Stoll
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stoll
Erat
Last 5: Stoll 3-2 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Stoll
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
0
Stoll
Erat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
46.3% (80)
+9.9%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
51.2% (41)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
40.0% (5)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Erat is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Stoll
Erat
Home
60.0% (620)
60.9% (64)
Away
49.7% (584)
33.9% (62)
By Period
Stoll
Erat
P1
55.4%
41.9%
P2
54.6%
47.2%
P3
54.6%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Martin Erat |