Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.2%). Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 75.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 60.3%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Stoll
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
20
(48 meetings)
28
20
Stoll
Duchene
Last 10: Stoll 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
8
Stoll
Duchene
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
10
4
Stoll
Duchene
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
13
8
Stoll
Duchene
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
54.0% (10,249)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
56.9% (1,620)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
49.3% (467)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,422).
Home / Away
Stoll
Duchene
Home
57.2% (3,285)
55.6% (6,270)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
52.7% (6,090)
By Period
Stoll
Duchene
P1
54.2%
54.5%
P2
55.8%
54.5%
P3
55.3%
53.4%
OT
52.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |