Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Duchene 54.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 59.4%
Defensive zone
Stoll 73.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 71.7%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Stoll
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Stoll
Duchene
Last 10: Stoll 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Stoll
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
6
1
Stoll
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
56.8% (706)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
56.1% (57)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
42.3% (130)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Stoll
Duchene
Home
57.3% (358)
56.6% (488)
Away
54.9% (388)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Stoll
Duchene
P1
47.8%
52.0%
P2
59.5%
53.7%
P3
58.1%
58.5%
OT
85.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |