Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 50.9% vs Duchene 52.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 56.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 56.9%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Stoll
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stoll
Duchene
Last 7: Stoll 5-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Stoll
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
0
Stoll
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (953)
52.6% (1,081)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
49.6% (119)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (143)
41.2% (17)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stoll is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Stoll shoots right. Duchene is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Stoll
Duchene
Home
51.0% (606)
54.9% (625)
Away
51.0% (555)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Stoll
Duchene
P1
51.3%
52.7%
P2
52.6%
54.1%
P3
48.8%
49.5%
OT
53.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
51.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |