Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Backlund 46.1% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 87.5%
Defensive zone
Stoll 78.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 87.9%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Stoll
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stoll
Backlund
Last 10: Stoll 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
0
Stoll
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Stoll
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
2
Stoll
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
45.9% (410)
+10.3%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
44.8% (29)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
42.9% (56)
+8.6%
On even strength, Stoll has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Stoll
Backlund
Home
60.0% (620)
49.3% (217)
Away
49.7% (584)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Stoll
Backlund
P1
55.4%
44.0%
P2
54.6%
49.4%
P3
54.6%
42.8%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |