Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Fisher 53.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 63.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 87.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 57.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Stoll
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stoll
Fisher
Last 5: Stoll 4-1 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
0
Stoll
Fisher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
55.2% (948)
+2.5%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
49.7% (173)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
45.7% (129)
+8.2%
On power play, Stoll has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Stoll shoots right. Fisher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Stoll
Fisher
Home
59.6% (421)
53.1% (591)
Away
54.5% (422)
53.7% (659)
By Period
Stoll
Fisher
P1
55.4%
54.3%
P2
55.9%
54.5%
P3
59.9%
51.6%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |