Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Richards 50.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 66.6%
Defensive zone
Stoll 87.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 83.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Stoll
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Stoll
Richards
Last 10: Stoll 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
2
Stoll
Richards
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
2
Stoll
Richards
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
50.0% (3,722)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
54.6% (445)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
51.4% (502)
-0.7%
On even strength, Stoll has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Stoll
Richards
Home
57.2% (3,285)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Stoll
Richards
P1
54.2%
49.6%
P2
55.8%
52.3%
P3
55.3%
49.3%
OT
52.7%
58.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Mike Richards |