Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Richards 49.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 78.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 86.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 85.2%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Stoll
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stoll
Richards
Last 7: Stoll 5-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
47.9% (943)
+8.7%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
61.1% (157)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
52.9% (102)
+5.2%
On even strength, Stoll has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. Richards is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Stoll
Richards
Home
58.6% (662)
50.9% (617)
Away
56.3% (648)
48.7% (599)
By Period
Stoll
Richards
P1
58.1%
45.4%
P2
56.4%
52.5%
P3
58.4%
51.3%
OT
43.8%
55.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Mike Richards |