Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Santorelli 51.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 68.4%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 65.3%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 63.4%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Stoll
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stoll
Santorelli
Last 9: Stoll 3-6 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
3
Stoll
Santorelli
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
3
Stoll
Santorelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
50.5% (333)
+6.4%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
55.4% (56)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
53.3% (30)
-6.0%
On even strength, Stoll has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Stoll is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Stoll shoots right. Santorelli is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Stoll
Santorelli
Home
57.3% (618)
54.2% (179)
Away
52.2% (621)
49.2% (240)
By Period
Stoll
Santorelli
P1
54.5%
49.6%
P2
57.2%
51.8%
P3
53.4%
52.7%
OT
35.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |