Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 30 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Koivu 54.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 28-24 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 58.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 58.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 52.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Stoll
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
28
(52 meetings)
24
28
Stoll
Koivu
Last 10: Stoll 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
12
18
Stoll
Koivu
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
7
4
Stoll
Koivu
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
6
Stoll
Koivu
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
54.0% (9,465)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
58.6% (2,100)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
48.9% (1,688)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Stoll
Koivu
Home
57.2% (3,285)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Stoll
Koivu
P1
54.2%
53.5%
P2
55.8%
54.6%
P3
55.3%
54.0%
OT
52.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |