Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 30-23 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 67.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 66.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Stoll
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
30
(53 meetings)
23
30
Stoll
Bonino
Last 10: Stoll 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
9
12
Stoll
Bonino
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
8
Stoll
Bonino
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
10
Stoll
Bonino
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
50.6% (8,315)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
54.1% (972)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
44.6% (1,693)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bonino
Home
57.2% (3,285)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Stoll
Bonino
P1
54.2%
50.6%
P2
55.8%
48.5%
P3
55.3%
51.1%
OT
52.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |