Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Bonino 47.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 75.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Stoll
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stoll
Bonino
Last 7: Stoll 2-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Stoll
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Stoll
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
48.4% (246)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
37.5% (32)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
41.2% (17)
+6.0%
On power play, Stoll has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Bonino is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bonino
Home
57.3% (358)
53.3% (122)
Away
54.9% (388)
42.2% (173)
By Period
Stoll
Bonino
P1
47.8%
48.4%
P2
59.5%
44.3%
P3
58.1%
47.2%
OT
85.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |