Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Spaling 50.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 89.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 75.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 78.5%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Stoll
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stoll
Spaling
Last 6: Stoll 4-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
2
Stoll
Spaling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
51.6% (353)
+5.0%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
50.0% (8)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
49.3% (136)
+8.8%
On power play, Stoll has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. Spaling is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Stoll
Spaling
Home
58.6% (662)
49.2% (260)
Away
56.3% (648)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Stoll
Spaling
P1
58.1%
55.2%
P2
56.4%
49.7%
P3
58.4%
47.7%
OT
43.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |