Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Spaling 46.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 77.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 92.2%
Neutral zone
Stoll 84.3%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Stoll
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Stoll
Spaling
Last 8: Stoll 6-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
48.4% (419)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
30.0% (10)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
32.1% (53)
+15.1%
On power play, Stoll has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Spaling is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Stoll
Spaling
Home
57.3% (358)
52.2% (251)
Away
54.9% (388)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Stoll
Spaling
P1
47.8%
40.6%
P2
59.5%
43.9%
P3
58.1%
54.3%
OT
85.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | OT | 02:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |