Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Stoll wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 70.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 65.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 66.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Stoll
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stoll
Bergeron
Last 8: Stoll 5-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stoll
Bergeron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
61.6% (1,186)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
52.2% (201)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
54.6% (240)
-3.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Stoll is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Stoll shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bergeron
Home
60.0% (620)
61.7% (828)
Away
49.7% (584)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Stoll
Bergeron
P1
55.4%
58.5%
P2
54.6%
61.8%
P3
54.6%
57.8%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
56.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |