Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 65.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 64.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 65.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Stoll
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Stoll
Bergeron
Last 10: Stoll 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stoll
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
1
Stoll
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
59.4% (1,274)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
57.5% (193)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
55.5% (265)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Stoll is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Stoll shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bergeron
Home
57.3% (618)
61.9% (837)
Away
52.2% (621)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Stoll
Bergeron
P1
54.5%
60.1%
P2
57.2%
59.2%
P3
53.4%
56.6%
OT
35.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |