Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Marleau 50.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 63.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 92.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 90.9%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Stoll
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stoll
Marleau
Last 6: Stoll 5-1 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Stoll
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
5
0
Stoll
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
49.0% (437)
+8.7%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
70.6% (34)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
53.7% (54)
+0.2%
On even strength, Stoll has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Stoll shoots right. Marleau is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Stoll
Marleau
Home
59.6% (421)
55.1% (234)
Away
54.5% (422)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Stoll
Marleau
P1
55.4%
56.3%
P2
55.9%
48.5%
P3
59.9%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |