Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 30-15 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 83.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 63.6%
Neutral zone
Stoll 53.8%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Stoll
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
30
(45 meetings)
15
30
Stoll
Gaustad
Last 10: Stoll 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
9
4
Stoll
Gaustad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
17
Stoll
Gaustad
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
9
Stoll
Gaustad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
58.2% (4,334)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
65.4% (188)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
54.8% (1,290)
-4.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Stoll
Gaustad
Home
57.2% (3,285)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Stoll
Gaustad
P1
54.2%
58.2%
P2
55.8%
56.4%
P3
55.3%
58.3%
OT
52.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |