Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 70.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 66.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 52.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Stoll
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Stoll
Gaustad
Last 9: Stoll 2-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Stoll
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Stoll
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Stoll
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
57.8% (854)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
56.0% (25)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
55.1% (263)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Stoll
Gaustad
Home
60.0% (620)
61.3% (633)
Away
49.7% (584)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Stoll
Gaustad
P1
55.4%
57.9%
P2
54.6%
55.3%
P3
54.6%
58.3%
OT
66.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
56.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |