Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 50.9% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 90.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 68.9%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 53.9%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Stoll
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stoll
Gaustad
Last 6: Stoll 1-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Stoll
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Stoll
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (953)
57.7% (821)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
56.3% (16)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (143)
52.3% (260)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Stoll is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Stoll shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Stoll
Gaustad
Home
51.0% (606)
58.9% (577)
Away
51.0% (555)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Stoll
Gaustad
P1
51.3%
53.1%
P2
52.6%
57.9%
P3
48.8%
57.8%
OT
53.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
51.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |