Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Stastny 53.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 63.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Stoll
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Stoll
Stastny
Last 10: Stoll 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
6
Stoll
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
2
Stoll
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Stoll
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
52.2% (1,107)
+4.4%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
61.0% (254)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
46.4% (138)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stastny
Home
58.6% (662)
52.5% (785)
Away
56.3% (648)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Stoll
Stastny
P1
58.1%
51.3%
P2
56.4%
55.2%
P3
58.4%
52.6%
OT
43.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
59.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |