Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.4%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 57.2%
Neutral zone
Stoll 50.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Stoll
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Stoll
Stastny
Last 10: Stoll 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Stoll
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Stoll
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Stoll
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
55.0% (1,136)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
57.5% (200)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
53.1% (64)
-1.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stastny
Home
60.0% (620)
58.5% (744)
Away
49.7% (584)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Stoll
Stastny
P1
55.4%
57.9%
P2
54.6%
54.9%
P3
54.6%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
72.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |