Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 50.9% vs Stastny 57.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 71.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 65.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 62.8%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Stoll
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Stoll
Stastny
Last 10: Stoll 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Stoll
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Stoll
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Stoll
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (953)
57.6% (959)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
60.8% (125)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (143)
58.1% (74)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stoll is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Stoll shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stastny
Home
51.0% (606)
55.9% (590)
Away
51.0% (555)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Stoll
Stastny
P1
51.3%
59.6%
P2
52.6%
59.0%
P3
48.8%
55.3%
OT
53.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
51.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 02:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 02:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |