Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Umberger 49.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Umberger leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Umberger 68.4%
Defensive zone
Stoll 78.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 63.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Stoll
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Stoll
Umberger
Last 10: Stoll 5-5 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
4
Stoll
Umberger
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
0
Stoll
Umberger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Umberger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
50.6% (164)
+5.6%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
49.1% (114)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
40.0% (25)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Umberger is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Stoll
Umberger
Home
60.0% (620)
48.8% (166)
Away
49.7% (584)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Stoll
Umberger
P1
55.4%
43.7%
P2
54.6%
52.6%
P3
54.6%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |