Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Nash 49.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 84.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 76.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 58.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Stoll
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stoll
Nash
Last 7: Stoll 3-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Stoll
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Stoll
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
50.7% (341)
+7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
58.3% (24)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
24.0% (25)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Stoll shoots right. Nash is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Stoll
Nash
Home
59.6% (421)
50.0% (200)
Away
54.5% (422)
48.9% (190)
By Period
Stoll
Nash
P1
55.4%
47.1%
P2
55.9%
60.6%
P3
59.9%
38.1%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
60.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |