Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Johnson 60.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 63.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 60.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.3%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Stoll
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stoll
Johnson
Last 5: Stoll 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stoll
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
63.8% (260)
-7.2%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
50.0% (4)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
63.0% (46)
-4.9%
On power play, Stoll has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Stoll
Johnson
Home
58.6% (662)
69.8% (126)
Away
56.3% (648)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Stoll
Johnson
P1
58.1%
63.0%
P2
56.4%
61.8%
P3
58.4%
66.0%
OT
43.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |