Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Smyth 45.8% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 61.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 86.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 77.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Stoll
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stoll
Smyth
Last 9: Stoll 5-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
1
3
Stoll
Smyth
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Smyth
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Smyth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
45.2% (456)
+10.8%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
51.8% (164)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
23.3% (43)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Smyth is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Stoll
Smyth
Home
57.2% (3,285)
49.7% (340)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Stoll
Smyth
P1
54.2%
48.3%
P2
55.8%
41.7%
P3
55.3%
46.5%
OT
52.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |