Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Gagner 47.9% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 67.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 89.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 88.2%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Stoll
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stoll
Gagner
Last 6: Stoll 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
47.6% (599)
+8.6%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
47.7% (86)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
60.0% (5)
-8.5%
On even strength, Stoll has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stoll is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Stoll shoots right. Gagner is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Stoll
Gagner
Home
60.0% (620)
49.5% (331)
Away
49.7% (584)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Stoll
Gagner
P1
55.4%
47.7%
P2
54.6%
43.9%
P3
54.6%
51.8%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 15, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |